Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Laurence M. Ball Author-Name-First: Laurence M. Author-Name-Last: Ball Author-Email: lball@jhu.edu Author-Workplace-Name: Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University Baltimore, MD 21218 Author-Name: Daniel Leigh Author-Name-First: Daniel Author-Name-Last: Leigh Author-Email: dleigh@imf.org Author-Workplace-Name: Western Hemisphere Department International Monetary Fund Washington, DC 20431 Author-Name: Prachi Mishra Author-Name-First: Prachi Author-Name-Last: Mishra Author-Email: prachi.mishra@ashoka.edu.in Author-Workplace-Name: Ashoka University Department of Economics and Isaac Center for Public Policy Sonepat Haryana-131029 Title: The Rise and Retreat of US Inflation: An Update Abstract: Why did US inflation rise over 2021-22 and why has it retreated since then? Ball, Leigh, and Mishra (2022), writing near the inflation peak, explained the rise with a framework in which inflation depends on three factors: long-term expectations; the tightness of the labor market as measured by the vacancy-to-unemployment (V/U) ratio; and large changes in relative prices in particular industries such as energy and autos. This paper finds that the same framework explains the retreat in inflation since our earlier work. length: 44 Creation-Date: 20250517 Revision-Date: Publication-Status: File-URL:/www/wwwashokaeduin_628/public/dp/RePEc/ash/wpaper/paper146_0.pdf File-Format: Application/pdf Number: 146 Handle: RePEc:ash:wpaper:146